BoltNews — Pre-Market Briefing
Thursday, August 6, 2026 · Updated 04:30 ET
Overnight Recap
1Iran-Oman Strait of Hormuz deal near conclusion
Tehran and Muscat are closing in on a landmark agreement to manage shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz, with AP and Al Jazeera reporting both sides confirm progress (Al Jazeera, Aug 6 02:30 ET). The deal, alongside Trump's decision to abandon a planned large-scale strike on Iran, has accelerated regional diplomatic efforts. Oil prices rose 0.8% overnight — WTI at $75.73 — reflecting geopolitical risk premium compression offset by supply-disruption relief. Gold at $4,329 (+0.47% overnight) and the 10Y yield declining to ~4.6% both reflect haven demand easing.
+0.47%
2Asia tech selloff: KOSPI -4%, SK Hynix and Kioxia -10%
South Korea's KOSPI dropped over 4% in Thursday's session while Japanese semiconductor names led losses — SK Hynix and Kioxia each plunged roughly 10% (TradingKey, Aug 6 02:58 ET; investingLive, Aug 5 23:40 ET). The move dragged broader Asian indices lower and marks the heaviest single-day tech selling in the region in weeks. The catalyst appears to be a combination of profit-taking after Nvidia's five-day +10% rally and overnight concerns around AI chip demand sustainability.
+10%
3German factory orders surprise to the upside
German factory orders rose faster than expected in June, driven by another surge in large-scale orders, providing a rare positive macro data point for the eurozone (ForexLive, Aug 6 02:00 ET; Guardian Business, Aug 6 04:27 ET). The print offered modest support to the euro and reinforces the narrative that European industrial activity may be bottoming.
4SanDisk (SNDK) falls 8% after hours on guidance miss
Despite a revenue surge, SanDisk shares fell roughly 8% in after-hours trading as the company's forecast failed to meet elevated expectations tied to AI storage demand (MarketWatch, Aug 5 18:25 ET; TradingKey, Aug 5 23:52 ET). Western Digital, which reported a 12-fold net profit surge, also saw its stock decline 12% (TradingKey, Aug 6).
5US dollar stabilizes, cautious ahead of Friday payrolls
The dollar index steadied overnight as markets adopted a wait-and-see posture before the August nonfarm payrolls report on Friday (FXStreet, Aug 6 03:50 ET; ING via FXStreet, Aug 6 04:13 ET). Major FX pairs traded in narrow ranges with the pound capped below 1.3555 against the dollar (UOB via FXStreet) and the Canadian dollar supported by higher oil prices.
6Nvidia hits two-month high after five-day +10% winning streak
Nvidia extended its rally overnight, reaching a two-month high after five consecutive sessions of gains totaling over 10% (TradingKey, Aug 6). The move comes as demand for AI chips continues to dominate the narrative, though the overnight Asia selloff in chip names raises questions about sustainability.
Global Equity Movers
Asia-Pacific:
- KOSPI: -4.0% — heaviest single-day loss in weeks; chip names led declines (TradingKey)
- SK Hynix: -10% — profit-taking after recent AI-driven rally
- Kioxia: -10% — dragged by broad chip selloff
- Nikkei 225: lower, tracking US tech futures weakness
- Shanghai Composite: modestly lower; German factory orders provided limited offset
US Pre-Market / After-Hours Movers:
- SanDisk (SNDK): -8% — guidance disappointment despite revenue beat (MarketWatch, TradingKey)
- Western Digital (WDC): -12% — profit surged 12-fold but failed to satisfy elevated expectations
- Nvidia (NVDA): +10% over five sessions, two-month high — AI demand narrative intact but facing Asia rotation
- Samsung: settled patent dispute for $897M, signed five-year strategic agreement (TradingKey)
- SpaceX: earnings beat overshadowed by AI cost surge (CNBC, Aug 4)
- Palantir (PLTR): Q2 earnings beat, raised revenue guidance (CNBC, Aug 3)
- Block (SQ): 40% workforce cut for AI showing payoff in earnings (MarketWatch, Aug 5 18:19 ET)
- Figma: stock declined as AI push requires steep investments (MarketWatch, Aug 5 18:12 ET)
- Google DeepMind: CEO steps down in major AI team shake-up (Guardian Business, Aug 5 18:23 ET)
Rates, FX, and Commodities
Treasuries edged higher overnight with the 10-year yield declining to approximately 4.6%, reflecting haven demand moderation alongside Iran-Oman Hormuz deal progress (Trading Economics, 06:00 ET). The 2-year note was essentially flat at 102.98. Bunds and JGBs were quiet.
The US dollar index stabilized after recent weakness. EUR/USD traded in a tight range, supported by stronger-than-expected German factory orders. GBP/USD remained capped below 1.3555. USD/JPY was steady as markets await Friday's payrolls print for directional cues.
WTI crude rose 0.8% overnight to $75.73, buoyed by the Hormuz deal optimism which reduces immediate supply disruption risk while introducing new managed-shipping dynamics. Gold extended its breakout to $4,329 (+0.47% overnight), with OCBC noting the move is supported by easing yields (FXStreet, 04:03 ET). Natural gas was up 0.64% overnight to $2.69. US diesel exports hit a record high as domestic stockpiles slid (OilPrice.com, Aug 6 02:30 ET).
Today's Setup and Risk Map
Economic Calendar (all times ET):
- 08:30 — Jobless Claims (consensus: ~235K, prior: 233K)
- BMO — Major earnings: COP ($139B), PH ($120B), HWM ($109B), CEG ($93B), DDOG ($89B), WBD ($65B), TRGP ($61B), SRE ($58B), LNG ($54B), BDX ($46B), KDP ($43B), KVUE ($38B), ZTS ($31B), FISV ($30B)
Futures Levels to Watch (ES1, as of 04:20 ET):
- Resistance: 7,770 (overnight high), 7,794 (prior settle)
- Support: 7,748 (overnight low), 7,724 (yesterday's cash close)
Bull case: Iran-Oman Hormuz deal formalized; BMO earnings from DDOG/COP/CEG beat across the board; Asia tech selloff contained — ES recaptures 7,770. Base case: Mixed open, tech under pressure from Asia spillover, offset by energy and gold strength; ES holds 7,740–7,760 range into the cash session. Bear case: Asia tech rout accelerates into US pre-market; BMO earnings disappoint; Hormuz deal falls apart — ES breaks below 7,724, triggering a test of the 7,700 handle.
Single biggest risk: Asia semiconductor selloff contagion into US tech ahead of a heavy earnings day — if DDOG or CEG miss, the overnight tech weakness gets fundamentally validated rather than dismissed as regional noise.
Earnings Calendar and Results
Earnings Calendar (deterministic — sourced from DoltHub + DuckDB warehouse):
Already reported (pre-open, BMO):
- COP (Before market open, $139B) — EPS cons 8.14 (YoY -11.5%)
- PH (Before market open, $120B) — EPS cons 34.03 (YoY +8.9%)
- HWM (Before market open, $109B) — EPS cons 5.94 (YoY +19.3%)
- CEG (Before market open, $93B) — EPS cons 13.13 (YoY +11.9%)
- DDOG (Before market open, $89B) — EPS cons 2.89 (YoY +19.4%)
- WBD (Before market open, $65B) — EPS cons -0.05 (YoY +95.4%)
- TRGP (Before market open, $61B) — EPS cons 12.36 (YoY +14.4%)
- SRE (Before market open, $58B) — EPS cons 5.52 (YoY +7.8%)
- LNG (Before market open, $54B) — EPS cons 17.10 (YoY +359.9%)
- BDX (Before market open, $46B) — EPS cons 13.36 (YoY +6.6%)
- KDP (Before market open, $43B) — EPS cons 2.53 (YoY +10.5%)
- KVUE (Before market open, $38B) — EPS cons 1.23 (YoY +6.0%)
- ZTS (Before market open, $31B) — EPS cons 7.35 (YoY +6.7%)
- FISV (Before market open, $30B) — EPS cons 8.97 (YoY +10.3%)
- FWONK (Before market open, $26B) — EPS cons 2.34 (YoY +21.2%)
- ATI (Before market open, $26B) — EPS cons 5.46 (YoY +21.6%)
- FOXA (Before market open, $25B) — EPS cons 5.76 (YoY +16.1%)
- ROIV (Before market open, $24B) — EPS cons -1.46 (YoY -8.1%)
- RL (Before market open, $22B) — EPS cons 20.26 (YoY +10.5%)
- INSM (Before market open, $22B) — EPS cons 0.59 (YoY +124.3%)
- FOX (Before market open, $22B) — EPS cons 5.69 (YoY +19.0%)
- USFD (Before market open, $21B) — EPS cons 5.34 (YoY +15.3%)
- VTRS (Before market open, $20B) — EPS cons 2.67 (YoY +8.5%)
- EVRG (Before market open, $20B) — EPS cons 4.55 (YoY +7.1%)
After market close (AMC):
- NET (After market close, $96B) — EPS cons 1.67 (YoY +38.0%)
- MNST (After market close, $95B) — EPS cons 2.61 (YoY +13.0%)
- ABNB (After market close, $91B) — EPS cons 5.90 (YoY +19.7%)
- RSG (After market close, $67B) — EPS cons 8.02 (YoY +10.0%)
- AFL (After market close, $66B) — EPS cons 7.66 (YoY +8.5%)
- MCHP (time unconfirmed, $39B) — EPS cons 4.01 (YoY +27.7%)
- RKT (After market close, $39B) — EPS cons 0.96 (YoY +45.5%)
- NTRA (After market close, $36B) — EPS cons -0.01 (YoY +99.3%)
- RMD (After market close, $31B) — EPS cons 12.05 (YoY +8.2%)
- TWLO (After market close, $28B) — EPS cons 6.53 (YoY +15.8%)
- TEAM (After market close, $26B) — EPS cons 5.88 (YoY +7.3%)
- ROKU (After market close, $22B) — EPS cons 3.58 (YoY +48.5%)
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